By 2021, the inhabitants of the earth who will own mobile phones will be 5.5 billion which would be more than people who have a bank account (5.4 billion), water connection (5.3 billion) or fixed telephone lines (2.9 billion).
These are some of the forecasts included in the eleventh edition of the Cisco Global Mobile Visual Networking Index (VNI) study, which covers the five years from 2016 to 2021 and according to which in five years, the volume of traffic on the Global Mobile networks will be seven times.
A real explosion and the result the constant increase in the holding cell, the growing number of those who use them, the habit of consuming more and more video content, faster networks through the deployment of 4G and dissemination the Internet of Things are some of the factors attributing to the mobile penetration.
By 2021, the data traffic on the mobile networks will result in fact 20% of all traffic on the Internet (IP) of the world; in 2016, it was only 8% of the total.
To get an idea of what it means to reach this height, it is equal to the exorbitant figure of 587 exabytes of traffic per year, enough to think that traffic on mobile networks in 2021 will be equal to 122 times the traffic on Mobile networks recorded in 2011.
12 billion between objects, machines, smartphones, and more will be connected to the mobile networks in 2021 (in 2016 it was 8 billion). 58% of the connections will be of the 4G mobile network. 4G technology will have a very significant increase considering that in 2016, 4G connections were 26% of the total.
Cisco also begins to consider the arrival of 5G networks by 2021. Like other experts, the company expects to see the first 5G networks on a large scale around 2020. According to the study, these futuristic networks in 2021 will already have won a slice of 1.5% of total mobile traffic.
The study also estimated that in 2021, 29% of the mobile network connections would be represented by connections between machines (3.3 billion). This type of mobile connections, which accounted for just 5% of the total in 2016 (780 million), has the highest growth rate of all others.
Wearable will represent a fair proportion of connected objects. In 2021, there will be 69 million wearable devices connected to the cellular network in the world, while in 2016 there were 11 million.
Finally a look at the Wi-Fi. Worldwide in 2016, there were 94 million access points to the public Wi-Fi network (including domestic Wi-Fi access); in 2021 the number will be six times as much, reaching 541.6 million.